You may have heard this morning that a Russian “expert” in the field has predicted the demise of the United States of America next year.
I am reminded of the years leading up to the fall of the Soviet Union (or extreme reorganization).
Our own Central Intelligence Agency predicted its fall ten years from the date of the prediction (it “fell” not long after the report) (1, 2, 3). An interesting factoid concerning this botched prediction was based on the fact that the CIA may have relied too heavily on Soviet information and data (just look at one of their newspapers (Pravda or TASS) and you can see how “unbiased” they are; you might as well use government-issued press releases).
The point is, propaganda oversells or over-states issues.
That is what propaganda does.
Now where do you suppose this Soviet “expert” would gather his data to conclude that the U.S. will fall next year?
All we have been hearing out of the Democrats and the Obama administration is that we are repeating the Great Depression of the early 30’s and that they are representing the new Roosevelt-doctrine (the “new”, New Deal).
This is the problem with propaganda. It paints a certain perspective for the entire world.
Let’s break it down a little further. The latest unemployment stats that I have heard mentioned put us somewhere in the vicinity of seven percent.
Keep in mind – we were running in double digits under the Carter administration (that was the 1970’s; fourteen percent, I “think”).
During the depression years after the 29 stock crash, unemployment was running in the thirty percentile.
Thirty percent !
That is a far-cry difference from this seven percent that we now face – and yet what do we get from Obama? He screams that we are in the grip of depression and failing by the minute.
He is setting himself up for a self-fulfilling prophesy. It is his policies that are driving the markets down, not to mention the perception he is creating with his speech.
I am trained in public relations. We are taught that the best approach to dealing with a sticky situation is to try and present it in as true a light as is possible.
In other words, base your communications on the facts and try your damndest to see that the facts are corroborated by more than one party.
Then have a game plan. Communicate to the public that there is a problem, that we are aware of the problem (restate it for clarification) and that this is what we are doing to address the problem (again, restate the problem so that everyone understands).
Now it is also important that the problem is legitimate. Look at the problems with selling the world on global warming and you will see what I mean. There is no consensus on the subject by experts. All you hear are the “experts” representing one side of the issue.
What we are not taught to do is manufacture problems.
Believe it or not, in spite of what you have heard about “spin” – we are taught to do what the journalists do not seem to be doing. We are taught to deal with issues in an above-board fashion.
I believe that it is under-handed to continue down this path of self-destruction. To continue to paint the situation we now face as a “depression” is as bright and shining a lie as has ever been told by any politician.
The viability of our nation is based on a free and open marketplace.
Men have tried to emulate that freedom in terms of intellect and thought as well (a free and open interhange of ideas).
Now I realize that when approaching a problem, all things must be put on the table. For example, I understand that the CIA actually has a contingency plan set up in case of an attack upon the United States by Canada.
We all know it is not likely to happen, but we have the game-plan just in case.
We as a nation have built in protections to avoid another financial collapse like the one of the Great Depression.
It is fine to have a plan for that. Where I have a problem is when a government official continues to panic the entire world with rhetoric, and in so-doing affect the markets in such a terrible fashion.
If you’ve ever read “The Scarlet Pimpernel” you will see that a similar tactic was used in the French market place of the period where the character “whispers” stock information at parties and galas to manipulate the markets.
You can plainly see what an affect it has when a world leader such as our President makes blatant and open remarks (no whispers) about the subject.
This is wholly and completely malevolent, and it is absolutely irresponsible.
The repercussions you can plainly see in the prediciton of this Russian.
Now here is the “other side” of the coin.
Our CIA overestimated the Russians strength prior to their collapse. What I believe is happening here is that this Russian is underestimating our markets, and he is doing so based on all the rhetoric coming from our President and the Democrats in Congress.
The fact is, we are not in the greatest shape ever, but then again, we are NOT in a depression.
There is a wise quote that states that a man should only be judged by the company he keeps (now, I do know that we shouldn’t judge at all – but I do think we have to use some discernment to avoid running with the devil).
It is tacitly ironic to me that Barack Obama finds an ally in his rhetoric coming from a Soviet “expert”.
One socialist talking about another.
You do the math.